|
ALERT LEVEL |
MAIN CRITERIA |
INTERPRETATION/RECOMMENDATION |
|
0
No Alert |
Quiet.
All monitored parameters within background levels.
|
No
eruption in foreseeable future.
Entry in the 6-km radius Permanent Danger Zone (PDZ) is not
advised because phreatic explosions and ash puffs may occur
without precursors. |
|
1
Abnormal |
Low level unrest.
Slight increase in seismicity.
Slight increase in SO2 gas output above the
background level.
Very faint glow of the crater may occur but no conclusive
evidence of magma ascent.
Phreatic explosion or ash puffs may occur. |
No
eruption imminent.
Activity may be hydrothermal, magmatic or tectonic in
origin.
No entry in the 6-km radius PDZ. |
|
2
Increasing
Unrest |
Moderate unrest.
Low to moderate level of seismic activity.
Episodes of harmonic tremor.
Increasing SO2 flux.
Faint / intermittent crater glow.
Swelling of edifice may be detected.
Confirmed reports of decrease in flow of wells and springs
during rainy season. |
Unrest probably of magmatic origin; could eventually lead to
eruption. 6-km radius Danger Zone
may be extended to 7 km in the sector where the crater rim is
low. |
|
3
Increased
Tendency
Towards
Eruption
|
Relatively high
unrest. Volcanic quakes and tremor may become more
frequent.
Further increase in SO2 flux.
Occurrence of rockfalls in summit area.
Vigorous steaming / sustained crater glow.
Persistent swelling of edifice. |
Magma is close
to the crater. If trend is one of increasing unrest,
eruption is possible within weeks.
Extension of Danger Zone in the sector where the crater rim
is low will be considered. |
|
4
Hazardous Eruption
Imminent
|
Intense unrest.
Persistent tremor, many "low frequency"-type earthquakes.
SO2 emission level may show sustained increase or
abrupt decrease.
Intense crater glow. Incandescent lava fragments in the summit
area. |
Hazardous
eruption is possible within days.
Extension of Danger
zone to 8 km or morein the sector where the crater rim is low
will be recommended. |
|
5
Hazardous Eruption
|
Hazardous eruption ongoing.
Occurrence of pyroclastic flows, tall eruption columns and
extensive ashfall. |
Pyroclastic flows
may sweep down along gullies and channels, especially along
those fronting the low part(s) of the crater rim.
Additional
danger areas may be identified as eruption progresses.
Danger to aircraft, by way of ash cloud encounter,
depending on height of eruption column and/or wind drift. |